Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 3.008834e-01 0.400928 0.517091 0.659952 0.828916 1.020449 1.251988
2026-01-25 1.738773e-01 0.293510 0.454381 0.677303 0.968900 1.328391 1.795700
2026-02-01 9.189128e-02 0.204470 0.381952 0.658198 1.053596 1.576411 2.296064
2026-02-08 5.465566e-02 0.161104 0.355887 0.690396 1.204274 1.919996 2.946088
2026-02-15 2.919183e-02 0.120963 0.318893 0.693968 1.309645 2.207952 3.541881
2026-02-22 1.808068e-02 0.103214 0.314368 0.746344 1.490816 2.613344 4.321047
2026-03-01 1.003991e-02 0.084702 0.300437 0.777207 1.638244 2.976896 5.058800
2026-03-08 4.640878e-03 0.065898 0.277083 0.783703 1.743042 3.280070 5.721782
2026-03-15 1.601097e-03 0.048431 0.247564 0.769758 1.808134 3.522649 6.303656
2026-03-22 5.183727e-04 0.038373 0.233206 0.783634 1.921724 3.845368 7.015616
2026-03-29 9.023220e-05 0.029253 0.215736 0.785699 2.011692 4.132399 7.681972
2026-04-05 8.217314e-07 0.020283 0.191033 0.763678 2.051560 4.336683 8.226101
2026-04-12 NaN 0.013702 0.169774 0.745879 2.099618 4.560868 8.816868
2026-04-19 NaN 0.009923 0.158068 0.750934 2.194220 4.869194 9.552021
2026-04-26 NaN 0.005937 0.137317 0.723448 2.216762 5.052131 10.092046
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004711 0.135581 0.754219 2.367576 5.468334 11.021969
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003107 0.125849 0.756144 2.454023 5.771882 11.775763
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002814 0.131084 0.810773 2.663804 6.306916 12.924029
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002196 0.130083 0.842965 2.823880 6.755868 13.939603
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001412 0.122638 0.849571 2.924407 7.097952 14.784851
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000716 0.110595 0.834658 2.971912 7.342092 15.471004
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000435 0.106224 0.849282 3.091681 7.725918 16.400951
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000212 0.099425 0.851432 3.180197 8.052313 17.239219